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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Selian 8.3% 7.2% 11.1% 10.5% 10.2% 11.0% 14.2% 13.0% 10.0% 4.5%
Jack Derry 9.1% 8.2% 10.0% 9.9% 12.1% 14.1% 12.3% 10.8% 9.9% 3.6%
Robby Meek 32.9% 24.2% 16.3% 13.6% 6.5% 3.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Monaghan 10.3% 11.6% 11.9% 12.9% 14.0% 11.5% 11.1% 9.7% 5.3% 1.7%
Connor Rosow 12.6% 16.2% 15.9% 14.0% 12.4% 10.4% 8.1% 5.9% 3.6% 0.9%
Ethan Danielson 10.9% 10.2% 10.1% 11.0% 13.1% 12.5% 10.6% 12.4% 6.8% 2.4%
Christine Reimer 4.8% 8.0% 8.9% 10.4% 11.4% 12.5% 13.6% 13.3% 10.9% 6.2%
Michael Morse 2.1% 2.4% 4.2% 4.0% 4.6% 6.8% 8.5% 10.6% 24.9% 31.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 7.5% 9.6% 9.2% 10.0% 11.9% 12.3% 12.5% 14.1% 8.4% 4.5%
Mikhail Lavrenov 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 5.3% 7.0% 9.6% 20.0% 44.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.