← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.36+4.53vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+3.38vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.87-0.40vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.68+0.80vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.98-0.82vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.57-0.95vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College1.25-1.17vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University0.21-0.13vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.38-3.51vs Predicted
-
10McGill University-0.01-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.53Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
-
5.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
-
2.6Harvard University2.870.3%1st Place
-
4.8Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
-
4.18Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
5.05Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
-
5.83Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.87Texas A&M University0.210.0%1st Place
-
5.49University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
-
8.28McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 8.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
| Jack Derry | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Robby Meek | 32.9% | 24.2% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 12.6% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Ethan Danielson | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Michael Morse | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 24.9% | 31.9% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 20.0% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.