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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Robby Meek 35.9% 22.8% 15.3% 11.5% 7.9% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Sam Monaghan 10.5% 9.8% 13.2% 13.2% 12.8% 11.9% 10.8% 10.1% 6.0% 1.7%
Christine Reimer 6.5% 7.9% 7.4% 9.4% 10.2% 11.7% 14.6% 14.3% 12.3% 5.7%
Nathan Selian 5.9% 8.6% 10.9% 10.6% 11.4% 13.1% 13.6% 10.5% 11.2% 4.2%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.3% 9.1% 9.5% 10.7% 10.6% 13.2% 13.1% 13.3% 8.6% 3.6%
Jack Derry 8.5% 9.5% 9.2% 11.4% 12.8% 11.5% 11.7% 12.4% 9.5% 3.5%
Ethan Danielson 7.4% 11.1% 12.1% 13.2% 12.0% 13.8% 10.7% 11.2% 5.8% 2.7%
Connor Rosow 13.3% 16.5% 15.4% 13.2% 14.3% 9.8% 7.8% 5.9% 3.1% 0.7%
Mikhail Lavrenov 1.5% 2.3% 3.2% 2.6% 3.5% 6.2% 6.7% 9.7% 20.9% 43.4%
Michael Morse 2.2% 2.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.5% 5.8% 8.8% 11.6% 22.3% 34.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.