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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+1.58vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.68+2.85vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.25+2.88vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.36+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.38+0.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-0.65vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.57-1.95vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98-3.88vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.01-0.73vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University0.21-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Harvard University2.870.4%1st Place
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4.85Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.88Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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5.56Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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5.05Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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4.12Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.27McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.92Texas A&M University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 35.9% | 22.8% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 10.5% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Christine Reimer | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 5.7% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Jack Derry | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 7.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 13.3% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 20.9% | 43.4% |
| Michael Morse | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 22.3% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.