Race 5A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Selian 7.6% 9.3% 10.0% 9.8% 11.1% 10.8% 13.0% 14.3% 9.8% 4.3%
Robby Meek 34.0% 23.3% 17.7% 10.1% 7.5% 4.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Monaghan 10.2% 10.6% 12.2% 11.4% 12.9% 14.1% 11.2% 10.2% 5.2% 2.0%
Ethan Danielson 7.5% 10.9% 12.3% 12.2% 13.1% 12.5% 11.5% 9.8% 7.6% 2.6%
Connor Rosow 13.8% 15.2% 14.4% 17.0% 12.5% 9.7% 7.2% 5.6% 3.7% 0.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.1% 9.4% 9.1% 8.8% 13.2% 11.5% 13.0% 12.6% 9.6% 3.7%
Mikhail Lavrenov 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 3.8% 3.8% 5.1% 7.7% 9.9% 21.0% 43.6%
Michael Morse 2.0% 2.5% 4.1% 4.4% 4.3% 6.9% 8.8% 10.2% 23.5% 33.3%
Jack Derry 8.3% 8.8% 9.9% 12.5% 11.4% 12.2% 12.0% 13.5% 7.9% 3.5%
Christine Reimer 6.1% 8.1% 8.5% 10.0% 10.2% 12.9% 13.3% 13.2% 11.6% 6.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.