← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.98+3.16vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.36+3.59vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.87-0.39vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College1.25+1.79vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.57+0.07vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.68-1.22vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-1.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont1.38-2.52vs Predicted
-
9McGill University-0.01-0.74vs Predicted
-
10Texas A&M University0.21-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.16Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
-
5.59Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
-
2.61Harvard University2.870.3%1st Place
-
5.79Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.07Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.78Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
-
5.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
-
5.48University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
-
8.26McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
7.9Texas A&M University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 15.3% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
| Robby Meek | 31.9% | 23.8% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 5.3% |
| Ethan Danielson | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Jack Derry | 6.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 20.6% | 43.3% |
| Michael Morse | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 21.9% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.