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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+1.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.38+2.55vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.68+0.82vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.36+0.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98-1.88vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.01+1.38vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.25-2.29vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.21-1.09vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.57-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Harvard University2.870.3%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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4.82Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.46Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.12Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.38McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.71Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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7.91Texas A&M University0.210.0%1st Place
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5.13Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 34.9% | 25.1% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 3.7% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 14.0% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 21.4% | 44.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 5.4% |
| Michael Morse | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 22.4% | 34.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 7.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.