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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Robby Meek 34.2% 25.9% 15.4% 10.2% 7.3% 3.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.1% 7.5% 9.9% 11.2% 12.1% 11.7% 12.5% 11.1% 12.0% 3.9%
Ethan Danielson 9.3% 9.3% 11.1% 9.9% 13.3% 13.3% 13.6% 10.3% 7.5% 2.4%
Sam Monaghan 9.1% 12.6% 12.6% 12.4% 13.8% 11.8% 10.0% 9.3% 7.2% 1.2%
Jack Derry 8.9% 9.4% 9.5% 11.6% 9.9% 13.7% 12.7% 12.5% 8.4% 3.4%
Connor Rosow 13.8% 14.1% 16.0% 15.2% 12.7% 9.5% 8.9% 6.1% 2.4% 1.3%
Christine Reimer 6.2% 7.2% 8.1% 11.7% 11.1% 11.8% 13.8% 13.6% 11.0% 5.5%
Nathan Selian 6.8% 9.3% 11.0% 9.7% 11.8% 12.3% 11.8% 13.4% 8.8% 5.1%
Michael Morse 1.9% 2.7% 3.9% 4.0% 4.1% 7.7% 7.5% 12.2% 22.8% 33.2%
Mikhail Lavrenov 1.7% 2.0% 2.5% 4.1% 3.9% 4.8% 7.2% 10.4% 19.6% 43.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.