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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.38+3.52vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.57+2.16vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.68+0.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+0.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98-1.83vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.25-1.23vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.36-2.50vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.21-1.11vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.01-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Harvard University2.870.3%1st Place
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5.52University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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5.16Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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4.83Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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4.17Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.77Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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7.89Texas A&M University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.26McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 34.2% | 25.9% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 3.9% |
| Ethan Danielson | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| Jack Derry | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 13.8% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 5.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Michael Morse | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 22.8% | 33.2% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 19.6% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.