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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.01vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+3.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+7.45vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.02+4.20vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.42vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38+1.61vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10+4.24vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.99+1.36vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.51+2.46vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.93+3.19vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-0.86vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.60-1.41vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-0.35vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.87vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.20-6.97vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.09-7.66vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.97-7.67vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.54-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Stanford University3.3021.1%1st Place
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5.67Yale University2.7111.9%1st Place
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10.45Dartmouth College2.104.0%1st Place
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8.2Tulane University2.026.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Pennsylvania1.776.6%1st Place
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7.61Cornell University2.386.8%1st Place
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11.24Harvard University2.103.2%1st Place
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9.36Brown University1.993.8%1st Place
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11.46Bowdoin College1.512.9%1st Place
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13.19George Washington University0.931.2%1st Place
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10.14College of Charleston1.813.5%1st Place
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10.59University of South Florida1.603.6%1st Place
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12.65Northeastern University1.221.8%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.5%1st Place
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8.03Georgetown University2.206.0%1st Place
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8.34Boston College2.096.0%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University1.975.1%1st Place
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13.19Tufts University0.541.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.1% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Bridget Green | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 19.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 16.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.