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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.00+3.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+1.73vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.06+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.11+0.04vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.50+0.26vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-0.80vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.72-4.01vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.71-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Yale University3.000.1%1st Place
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3.73Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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4.26Salve Regina University3.060.2%1st Place
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4.04University of Vermont3.110.2%1st Place
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5.26Bowdoin College2.500.1%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.1%1st Place
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4.99Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.98Wesleyan University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Hession | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 15.4% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Eric Decesar | 15.3% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Quentin Chafee | 16.3% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Viktor Bolmgren | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 11.2% |
| William Cotta | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 8.9% |
| Michael Reney | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 20.3% |
| Peter Hughes | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.3% |
| Dylan Griffin | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.