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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+3.47vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.84+0.51vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.06+0.87vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+0.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.67-3.26vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.07-1.40vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.97-0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.97-1.54vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.61-0.52vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.67-4.77vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-2.69-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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2.51Salve Regina University3.840.3%1st Place
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3.87Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.0%1st Place
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2.74Tufts University3.670.3%1st Place
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5.6Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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9.48Amherst College-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.23Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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10.79Wesleyan University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hughes | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 31.2% | 26.2% | 19.7% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 12.5% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Simon | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 27.2% | 25.3% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jordan | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 21.2% | 28.4% | 10.6% | 0.6% |
| Douglas Young | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 28.6% | 11.7% | 0.4% |
| Jesse Lang | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 62.0% | 11.7% |
| Christopher Cason | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Langholz | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 9.4% | 87.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.