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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Peter Hughes 8.9% 11.1% 13.4% 16.5% 17.6% 15.3% 10.4% 4.4% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Clancy 31.2% 26.2% 19.7% 11.4% 7.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Decesar 12.5% 14.3% 20.1% 16.3% 14.4% 12.3% 6.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
William Simon 4.9% 7.0% 8.7% 11.1% 14.7% 17.1% 17.3% 11.9% 6.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 27.2% 25.3% 18.8% 14.3% 7.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Emmett Weeks 6.0% 6.0% 7.1% 11.9% 13.9% 15.8% 16.6% 13.5% 7.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Richard Jordan 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 4.2% 6.6% 7.6% 12.5% 21.2% 28.4% 10.6% 0.6%
Douglas Young 2.4% 1.9% 2.5% 4.5% 5.9% 9.1% 12.8% 20.2% 28.6% 11.7% 0.4%
Jesse Lang 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 6.5% 11.7% 62.0% 11.7%
Christopher Cason 3.7% 4.7% 6.0% 9.2% 10.6% 13.0% 18.1% 18.7% 12.7% 3.3% 0.0%
Noah Langholz 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 1.8% 9.4% 87.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.