← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.89+2.26vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.83+3.82vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.41+1.15vs Predicted
-
4California State University Channel Islands0.82+5.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.40+1.26vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-0.18vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.43+2.96vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-2.27vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.19vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University0.54+0.02vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University0.74+0.28vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University0.53-1.39vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-0.36+0.83vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley0.98-6.53vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.05vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.58-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.26Stanford University2.8925.1%1st Place
-
5.82University of Washington1.838.5%1st Place
-
4.15University of Hawaii2.4116.9%1st Place
-
9.0California State University Channel Islands0.823.8%1st Place
-
6.26University of Southern California1.408.1%1st Place
-
5.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.788.6%1st Place
-
9.96University of California at Los Angeles0.432.4%1st Place
-
5.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.929.3%1st Place
-
10.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.5%1st Place
-
10.02Western Washington University0.542.2%1st Place
-
11.28Arizona State University0.741.9%1st Place
-
10.61San Diego State University0.531.8%1st Place
-
13.83University of California at Irvine-0.360.7%1st Place
-
7.47University of California at Berkeley0.985.4%1st Place
-
9.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.862.1%1st Place
-
12.66University of California at San Diego-0.580.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 25.1% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 16.9% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Luke Harris | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 9.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 5.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 44.4% |
| Will Cornell | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.