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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Derry 8.8% 8.3% 11.6% 10.8% 9.9% 12.7% 13.3% 11.1% 9.3% 4.2%
Robby Meek 34.3% 23.1% 18.0% 11.4% 6.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Rosow 13.1% 14.3% 11.7% 15.9% 15.4% 10.4% 9.0% 5.4% 4.0% 0.8%
Nathan Selian 5.7% 9.1% 10.8% 11.5% 10.1% 13.7% 12.0% 13.7% 9.3% 4.1%
Michael Morse 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 4.6% 5.3% 7.0% 6.5% 11.1% 22.6% 33.2%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.6% 8.1% 8.0% 10.8% 12.9% 11.5% 11.6% 12.9% 10.0% 4.6%
Sam Monaghan 8.5% 13.4% 11.5% 12.7% 12.6% 12.9% 12.4% 8.5% 5.7% 1.8%
Ethan Danielson 8.5% 11.2% 12.2% 10.8% 13.2% 10.3% 13.6% 11.3% 5.8% 3.1%
Christine Reimer 6.8% 7.5% 9.3% 8.8% 10.8% 11.9% 12.8% 14.9% 12.1% 5.1%
Mikhail Lavrenov 1.8% 1.8% 3.3% 2.7% 3.4% 5.9% 6.7% 10.2% 21.1% 43.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.