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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+4.37vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.87+0.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+1.30vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.36+1.53vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.21+2.77vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.38-0.53vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.68-2.15vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.57-2.93vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.25-3.21vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.01-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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2.57Harvard University2.870.3%1st Place
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4.3Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.53Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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7.77Texas A&M University0.210.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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4.85Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.07Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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5.79Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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8.28McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Derry | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Robby Meek | 34.3% | 23.1% | 18.0% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 13.1% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Michael Morse | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 22.6% | 33.2% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Sam Monaghan | 8.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 21.1% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.