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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+3.79vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.87+0.57vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.36+2.61vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.38+1.51vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.25+0.78vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.57-0.95vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98-2.80vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.01+0.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-3.67vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University0.21-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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2.57Harvard University2.870.4%1st Place
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5.61Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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5.78Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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5.05Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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4.2Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.23McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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7.92Texas A&M University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Robby Meek | 35.1% | 22.0% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 3.6% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 5.7% |
| Ethan Danielson | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 12.0% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 22.4% | 41.5% |
| Jack Derry | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Michael Morse | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 23.0% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.