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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Monaghan 10.6% 11.6% 13.3% 12.5% 13.2% 10.6% 10.0% 10.2% 6.1% 1.9%
Robby Meek 35.1% 22.0% 17.2% 12.1% 6.7% 4.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 7.3% 8.6% 10.1% 7.6% 10.2% 14.2% 14.7% 12.7% 11.0% 3.6%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 5.7% 9.3% 10.9% 10.2% 11.7% 14.5% 11.8% 12.0% 9.6% 4.3%
Christine Reimer 7.4% 7.9% 8.3% 8.8% 10.7% 12.2% 13.0% 13.9% 12.1% 5.7%
Ethan Danielson 10.2% 10.0% 10.1% 13.6% 13.0% 10.2% 11.4% 12.7% 5.6% 3.2%
Connor Rosow 12.0% 16.4% 14.4% 14.7% 12.8% 13.0% 7.6% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
Mikhail Lavrenov 1.4% 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 3.9% 4.1% 7.9% 9.5% 22.4% 41.5%
Jack Derry 8.2% 9.0% 8.9% 13.5% 12.1% 11.5% 12.6% 12.9% 7.4% 3.9%
Michael Morse 2.1% 3.0% 3.3% 3.4% 5.7% 5.7% 8.6% 10.5% 23.0% 34.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.