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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+2.55vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.51+1.75vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.45+2.95vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.34+2.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51-1.27vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79-2.81vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.31+0.44vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.90+0.35vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.56-1.19vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.83-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.2%1st Place
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3.75Bowdoin College1.510.2%1st Place
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5.95Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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6.12Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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3.19Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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7.44McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.81Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGonagle | 19.1% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Schill | 17.1% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 5.8% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 17.0% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Everett Nash | 23.4% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Tessa Hason | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 23.9% | 17.6% |
| James Bergstrom | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 42.3% |
| Ryan Ingram | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 24.1% | 26.9% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 7.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.