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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+2.56vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.51+1.75vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+0.81vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.45+1.93vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.79-1.82vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.83-0.92vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.34-0.83vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.56-0.22vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.90-0.61vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.31-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.2%1st Place
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3.75Bowdoin College1.510.2%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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3.18Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.78Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.35McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGonagle | 20.9% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 16.5% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 17.2% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 4.3% |
| Everett Nash | 21.4% | 24.0% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.1% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Ingram | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 23.0% | 26.6% |
| James Bergstrom | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 20.1% | 43.8% |
| Tessa Hason | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 22.4% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.