← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter McGonagle 20.9% 17.2% 15.8% 13.5% 12.7% 8.8% 6.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Rebecca Schill 16.5% 17.2% 16.3% 14.7% 14.1% 9.5% 5.7% 4.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 17.2% 14.3% 15.8% 15.0% 15.0% 11.7% 6.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Shea McGrath 4.3% 6.4% 8.9% 9.8% 10.3% 13.6% 17.2% 13.5% 11.7% 4.3%
Everett Nash 21.4% 24.0% 16.2% 14.6% 10.8% 6.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Gavin Sanborn 9.6% 9.4% 8.7% 13.1% 13.5% 13.8% 13.5% 11.1% 6.0% 1.3%
Renato Korzinek 4.1% 4.5% 9.1% 7.3% 9.9% 14.9% 16.2% 15.9% 13.2% 4.9%
Ryan Ingram 1.8% 2.6% 3.1% 4.0% 4.3% 7.8% 10.0% 16.8% 23.0% 26.6%
James Bergstrom 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 4.6% 8.6% 11.9% 20.1% 43.8%
Tessa Hason 2.5% 3.0% 3.9% 5.3% 6.4% 8.7% 12.1% 17.0% 22.4% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.