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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+2.22vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.51+1.78vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.45+2.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.83+0.08vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51-2.29vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.34-0.88vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.31-0.68vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.56-1.19vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.90-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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3.78Bowdoin College1.510.2%1st Place
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5.98Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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3.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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3.71Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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6.12Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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7.32McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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7.81Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 23.7% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 15.6% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 3.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 16.9% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 17.5% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 5.0% |
| Tessa Hason | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 22.1% | 17.9% |
| Ryan Ingram | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 23.8% | 27.7% |
| James Bergstrom | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 20.0% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.