Race 4B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter McGonagle 18.7% 18.2% 16.1% 15.6% 11.5% 11.0% 4.8% 3.1% 0.6% 0.4%
Gavin Sanborn 8.0% 8.6% 11.2% 11.1% 14.5% 15.4% 12.6% 11.3% 5.6% 1.7%
Shea McGrath 5.8% 6.3% 7.4% 7.8% 11.4% 12.7% 18.1% 15.4% 10.7% 4.4%
Everett Nash 22.2% 20.7% 17.3% 14.7% 11.9% 7.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Rebecca Schill 16.7% 17.0% 16.5% 15.6% 13.8% 9.4% 5.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.5%
Adrien Bellanger 18.0% 17.1% 15.1% 15.8% 12.8% 10.5% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Tessa Hason 2.7% 1.6% 3.6% 4.3% 6.2% 8.6% 12.9% 18.0% 23.3% 18.8%
Renato Korzinek 4.9% 6.7% 7.7% 8.3% 10.2% 12.0% 16.2% 16.3% 12.4% 5.3%
James Bergstrom 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 2.2% 3.5% 6.1% 8.3% 11.8% 22.2% 40.8%
Ryan Ingram 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 4.6% 4.2% 7.1% 11.0% 15.6% 22.8% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.