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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+2.74vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.45+3.93vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.34+3.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-0.43vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51-1.26vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79-2.78vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.83-1.88vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.56-0.25vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.31-1.63vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.90-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.2%1st Place
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3.74Bowdoin College1.510.2%1st Place
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3.22Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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5.12University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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7.75Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.37McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 17.2% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 4.8% |
| Renato Korzinek | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 4.8% |
| Peter McGonagle | 18.9% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 16.8% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 23.1% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Ingram | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 17.3% | 23.0% | 26.1% |
| Tessa Hason | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 19.4% | 22.3% | 18.2% |
| James Bergstrom | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 20.6% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.