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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.45+4.83vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.51+1.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+0.82vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.79-0.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-1.42vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.34+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.83-1.86vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.56-0.23vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.31-1.60vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.90-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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3.77Bowdoin College1.510.2%1st Place
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3.82Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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3.24Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.2%1st Place
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6.08Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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7.77Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.4McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea McGrath | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| Rebecca Schill | 16.2% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Everett Nash | 23.0% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 18.6% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Renato Korzinek | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 6.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 6.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Ingram | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 24.5% | 25.6% |
| Tessa Hason | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 22.1% | 18.0% |
| James Bergstrom | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 21.8% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.