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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+2.70vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.79+1.24vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.45+2.97vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.34+2.16vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51-1.27vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.83-0.89vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-3.42vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.90+0.32vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.56-1.19vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.31-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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3.24Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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5.97Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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6.16Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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3.73Bowdoin College1.510.2%1st Place
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5.11University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.2%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.81Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.37McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 18.7% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Everett Nash | 23.4% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 5.8% |
| Rebecca Schill | 16.6% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 16.5% | 19.0% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| James Bergstrom | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 41.9% |
| Ryan Ingram | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 24.5% | 26.9% |
| Tessa Hason | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 23.2% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.