← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrien Bellanger 18.7% 17.8% 14.9% 13.7% 11.7% 11.6% 6.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.2%
Everett Nash 23.4% 19.7% 15.5% 15.0% 12.4% 7.5% 4.1% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Shea McGrath 5.6% 6.1% 7.3% 9.2% 8.9% 14.8% 17.4% 15.8% 10.2% 4.7%
Renato Korzinek 3.9% 5.3% 7.6% 9.2% 10.3% 13.1% 16.9% 15.2% 12.7% 5.8%
Rebecca Schill 16.6% 16.2% 17.4% 16.4% 12.9% 9.9% 5.0% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4%
Gavin Sanborn 9.0% 9.4% 9.1% 11.0% 15.6% 13.7% 14.7% 10.8% 4.7% 2.0%
Peter McGonagle 16.5% 19.0% 18.0% 14.7% 13.8% 8.8% 5.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
James Bergstrom 1.1% 1.5% 3.0% 2.6% 4.1% 4.8% 7.8% 13.0% 20.2% 41.9%
Ryan Ingram 2.3% 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 7.4% 10.2% 15.5% 24.5% 26.9%
Tessa Hason 2.9% 2.4% 4.4% 4.9% 5.8% 8.4% 11.6% 18.5% 23.2% 17.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.