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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+2.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+1.67vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.34+3.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51-0.26vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.45+0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.83-0.91vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51-3.25vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.31-0.68vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.90-0.63vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.56-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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3.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.2%1st Place
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6.2Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.74Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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5.83Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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3.75Bowdoin College1.510.2%1st Place
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7.32McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.85Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 25.7% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 16.8% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 15.8% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 4.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Rebecca Schill | 15.2% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Tessa Hason | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 21.4% | 18.6% |
| James Bergstrom | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 22.0% | 41.3% |
| Ryan Ingram | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 25.1% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.