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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+1.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+3.36vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.84-0.40vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.06-0.19vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.07+0.59vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.67+0.36vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.72-3.79vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.97-1.58vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.97-2.40vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.61-1.55vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-2.69-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Tufts University3.670.3%1st Place
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5.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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2.6Salve Regina University3.840.3%1st Place
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3.81Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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5.59Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.36Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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4.21Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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9.45Amherst College-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.78Wesleyan University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 25.2% | 24.1% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Simon | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 28.9% | 26.9% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 14.7% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cason | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Hughes | 12.1% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jordan | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 25.0% | 11.3% | 0.4% |
| Douglas Young | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 29.6% | 12.0% | 2.0% |
| Jesse Lang | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 61.4% | 10.3% |
| Noah Langholz | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 87.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.