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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83+3.71vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+3.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.98vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.54+4.83vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.41-1.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.36+6.67vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.82+1.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.34vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.74+1.12vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53-0.48vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.64vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.43-2.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.16vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-9.44vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Stanford University2.8925.2%1st Place
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5.71University of Washington1.839.9%1st Place
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6.19University of Southern California1.408.6%1st Place
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5.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.788.2%1st Place
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9.83Western Washington University0.542.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Hawaii2.4116.3%1st Place
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13.67University of California at Irvine-0.360.8%1st Place
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9.03California State University Channel Islands0.823.0%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Berkeley0.985.0%1st Place
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11.12Arizona State University0.741.6%1st Place
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10.52San Diego State University0.531.8%1st Place
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10.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.511.9%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Los Angeles0.432.5%1st Place
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12.84University of California at San Diego-0.580.5%1st Place
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5.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.9210.5%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.861.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 25.2% | 21.1% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Harris | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 16.3% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 43.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Will Cornell | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 9.3% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Max Case | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 4.6% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 24.9% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.