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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+2.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+1.78vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.45+2.97vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.51-0.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-1.43vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.34+0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.83-1.86vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.56-0.25vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.90-0.60vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.31-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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5.97Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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3.74Bowdoin College1.510.2%1st Place
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3.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.2%1st Place
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6.06Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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7.75Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.4Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.4McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 25.6% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 15.6% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Shea McGrath | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 4.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 15.8% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter McGonagle | 18.5% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Renato Korzinek | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 5.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Ingram | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 17.8% | 22.7% | 25.9% |
| James Bergstrom | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 20.2% | 43.6% |
| Tessa Hason | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 22.8% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.