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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Everett Nash 25.6% 19.7% 15.1% 12.8% 11.9% 8.4% 3.7% 2.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Adrien Bellanger 15.6% 17.9% 15.4% 15.7% 14.1% 9.0% 6.7% 4.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Shea McGrath 5.5% 7.2% 7.3% 7.1% 10.0% 14.3% 18.1% 14.2% 12.1% 4.2%
Rebecca Schill 15.8% 16.7% 16.9% 16.8% 12.9% 10.2% 5.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Peter McGonagle 18.5% 17.3% 17.1% 16.5% 12.6% 8.3% 5.4% 3.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Renato Korzinek 6.2% 5.4% 7.0% 8.2% 10.5% 13.6% 15.7% 14.7% 13.6% 5.1%
Gavin Sanborn 6.8% 9.2% 11.5% 11.6% 14.9% 15.2% 13.9% 9.3% 5.8% 1.8%
Ryan Ingram 2.0% 2.2% 3.5% 4.5% 4.0% 7.6% 9.8% 17.8% 22.7% 25.9%
James Bergstrom 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 3.7% 4.6% 7.8% 12.7% 20.2% 43.6%
Tessa Hason 2.5% 2.7% 4.3% 4.5% 5.4% 8.8% 13.1% 17.4% 22.8% 18.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.