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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+2.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+1.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+0.62vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.51-0.25vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.45+0.82vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.34+0.06vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.31+0.45vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.90+0.34vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.56-1.17vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.83-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University1.510.2%1st Place
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3.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.2%1st Place
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3.75Bowdoin College1.510.2%1st Place
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5.82Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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6.06Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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7.45McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.83Texas A&M University-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 24.3% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 16.0% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 18.3% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 15.7% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 4.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 4.9% |
| Tessa Hason | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 20.1% | 22.9% | 17.8% |
| James Bergstrom | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 43.8% |
| Ryan Ingram | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 24.6% | 26.8% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.