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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Everett Nash 24.3% 19.8% 17.3% 12.9% 11.1% 7.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 16.0% 17.6% 16.0% 14.4% 13.1% 10.5% 7.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Peter McGonagle 18.3% 16.8% 16.2% 15.8% 13.1% 10.5% 5.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Rebecca Schill 15.7% 16.7% 16.8% 16.4% 13.2% 11.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Shea McGrath 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 8.8% 11.2% 12.2% 17.8% 14.0% 10.9% 4.1%
Renato Korzinek 6.1% 5.6% 7.2% 8.3% 9.9% 13.0% 15.5% 16.4% 13.1% 4.9%
Tessa Hason 2.1% 2.3% 3.7% 4.8% 6.4% 8.7% 11.2% 20.1% 22.9% 17.8%
James Bergstrom 1.2% 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.8% 9.5% 11.5% 18.6% 43.8%
Ryan Ingram 2.0% 2.1% 3.7% 3.3% 4.1% 7.3% 10.3% 15.8% 24.6% 26.8%
Gavin Sanborn 7.4% 10.2% 9.8% 12.4% 14.3% 14.5% 13.5% 10.4% 5.3% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.