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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois-0.96+1.58vs Predicted
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2Saint Mary's College-1.84+1.66vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-1.27-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.34-1.00vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.21-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of Illinois-0.960.3%1st Place
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3.66Saint Mary's College-1.840.1%1st Place
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2.9Indiana University-1.270.2%1st Place
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3.0University of Notre Dame-1.340.2%1st Place
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2.87Miami University-1.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenico Sacchetti | 29.8% | 23.0% | 19.4% | 15.5% | 12.3% |
| Makayla Perry | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 22.9% | 37.7% |
| Zander West | 20.0% | 22.1% | 22.0% | 19.9% | 16.0% |
| Joseph Opferman | 18.3% | 21.5% | 20.7% | 21.1% | 18.4% |
| Jenna Drobny | 22.1% | 20.8% | 20.9% | 20.6% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.