← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.89+2.33vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.40+4.31vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+2.95vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.41+0.09vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine-0.36+8.60vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University0.53+4.58vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.43+3.01vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.16vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University0.74+2.36vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.46vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University0.54-1.12vs Predicted
-
12California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-6.26vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington1.83-7.28vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.17vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.18vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands0.82-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.33Stanford University2.8923.8%1st Place
-
6.31University of Southern California1.407.3%1st Place
-
5.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.789.2%1st Place
-
4.09University of Hawaii2.4117.1%1st Place
-
13.6University of California at Irvine-0.360.9%1st Place
-
10.58San Diego State University0.531.8%1st Place
-
10.01University of California at Los Angeles0.432.1%1st Place
-
10.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.5%1st Place
-
11.36Arizona State University0.741.0%1st Place
-
7.54University of California at Berkeley0.984.9%1st Place
-
9.88Western Washington University0.542.6%1st Place
-
5.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.928.6%1st Place
-
5.72University of Washington1.8310.3%1st Place
-
12.83University of California at San Diego-0.581.1%1st Place
-
9.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.1%1st Place
-
9.08California State University Channel Islands0.823.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 23.8% | 20.8% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 17.1% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 39.8% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Max Case | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% |
| Will Cornell | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 26.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.