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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.07+4.64vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.84+0.53vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.06+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.97+3.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.67-2.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.72-1.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-1.81vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.97-0.60vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.67-3.65vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.61-1.55vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-2.69-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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2.53Salve Regina University3.840.3%1st Place
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3.85Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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2.77Tufts University3.670.3%1st Place
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4.35Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.35Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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9.45Amherst College-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.79Wesleyan University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Weeks | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 30.4% | 26.8% | 19.6% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Young | 0.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 20.4% | 31.2% | 13.0% | 1.1% |
| Ben Weigel | 27.5% | 23.7% | 20.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hughes | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Simon | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jordan | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 25.8% | 11.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Cason | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Lang | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 13.4% | 60.8% | 10.5% |
| Noah Langholz | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 8.9% | 87.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.