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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emmett Weeks 3.9% 5.7% 8.6% 11.1% 14.8% 16.4% 18.1% 14.3% 5.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Patrick Clancy 30.4% 26.8% 19.6% 11.9% 6.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Decesar 12.6% 15.7% 16.4% 19.1% 15.2% 12.0% 5.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Douglas Young 0.8% 2.6% 3.3% 3.3% 5.2% 7.0% 12.1% 20.4% 31.2% 13.0% 1.1%
Ben Weigel 27.5% 23.7% 20.7% 11.6% 9.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hughes 10.6% 11.5% 13.9% 16.7% 16.6% 14.1% 9.6% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
William Simon 7.0% 7.6% 9.5% 14.3% 14.5% 15.1% 15.3% 10.3% 5.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Richard Jordan 2.5% 2.0% 1.9% 4.3% 6.0% 9.8% 15.7% 20.4% 25.8% 11.1% 0.5%
Christopher Cason 4.1% 4.1% 5.4% 6.7% 10.5% 15.4% 17.0% 19.3% 13.7% 3.7% 0.1%
Jesse Lang 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 3.2% 6.9% 13.4% 60.8% 10.5%
Noah Langholz 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 1.8% 8.9% 87.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.