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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.99+0.05vs Predicted
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2Miami University-2.42+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.52-0.39vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-3.44+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.68-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.05Indiana University1.991.0%1st Place
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3.4Miami University-2.420.0%1st Place
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2.61University of Notre Dame-1.520.0%1st Place
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4.29Saint Mary's College-3.440.0%1st Place
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3.65University of Illinois-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Groustra | 95.2% | 4.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Boothby | 1.1% | 20.0% | 31.3% | 33.0% | 14.6% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 3.1% | 52.0% | 29.0% | 12.7% | 3.2% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.0% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 22.0% | 57.4% |
| Chris Li | 0.6% | 15.7% | 26.7% | 32.2% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.