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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+2.27vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+3.76vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+2.89vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+3.64vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.41-0.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.43+4.07vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.40-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-2.05vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.82+0.01vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.53+0.66vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.54-1.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-2.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.36+0.73vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-3.55vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.74-3.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.58-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Stanford University2.8924.9%1st Place
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5.76California Poly Maritime Academy1.929.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Washington1.838.6%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Berkeley0.984.7%1st Place
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4.11University of Hawaii2.4115.9%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Los Angeles0.432.2%1st Place
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6.37University of Southern California1.408.0%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.789.2%1st Place
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9.01California State University Channel Islands0.824.0%1st Place
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10.66San Diego State University0.531.9%1st Place
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9.89Western Washington University0.542.5%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.763.0%1st Place
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13.73University of California at Irvine-0.360.5%1st Place
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10.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.5%1st Place
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11.35Arizona State University0.741.8%1st Place
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12.62University of California at San Diego-0.581.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 24.9% | 21.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Erik Anderson | 15.9% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Luke Harris | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.7% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Ring | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 43.0% |
| Max Case | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 10.8% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 21.1% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.