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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Patrick Clancy 31.4% 24.4% 19.0% 13.6% 7.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Decesar 14.9% 14.9% 19.5% 16.0% 15.5% 10.4% 5.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hughes 9.5% 11.4% 11.6% 17.8% 15.3% 16.0% 10.7% 5.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 24.2% 24.2% 20.5% 15.4% 8.8% 4.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Cason 4.0% 5.0% 5.2% 7.5% 10.4% 14.2% 17.3% 18.1% 15.7% 2.6% 0.0%
Emmett Weeks 4.6% 6.6% 7.8% 10.9% 14.5% 16.3% 17.9% 13.2% 6.5% 1.6% 0.1%
William Simon 7.1% 8.0% 9.8% 11.3% 15.4% 15.9% 15.3% 10.9% 5.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Douglas Young 2.1% 1.9% 3.1% 3.2% 6.3% 10.5% 14.2% 20.8% 25.6% 11.9% 0.4%
Richard Jordan 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 3.3% 5.2% 7.3% 12.1% 21.9% 28.4% 12.1% 2.0%
Jesse Lang 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 4.3% 5.2% 13.5% 61.5% 10.4%
Noah Langholz 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 2.3% 9.2% 87.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.