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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.84+1.56vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.06+1.73vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.72+1.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.67-1.16vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.67+1.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.07-0.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.97-0.58vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.97-2.42vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.61-1.55vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-2.69-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Salve Regina University3.840.3%1st Place
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3.73Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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4.49Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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2.84Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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6.3Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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5.62Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.45Amherst College-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.78Wesleyan University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Clancy | 31.4% | 24.4% | 19.0% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 14.9% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hughes | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 24.2% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cason | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| William Simon | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Young | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 20.8% | 25.6% | 11.9% | 0.4% |
| Richard Jordan | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 21.9% | 28.4% | 12.1% | 2.0% |
| Jesse Lang | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 13.5% | 61.5% | 10.4% |
| Noah Langholz | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 2.3% | 9.2% | 87.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.