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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+4.28vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+4.31vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.53+4.78vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.12+5.35vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90+5.44vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.99-0.04vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.30+1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-0.75vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.90+1.59vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.22-4.74vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.18-1.40vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.50-4.11vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.08+0.04vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.25-1.25vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.99-8.97vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-5.65vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.61-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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10.35Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.44George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.96Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.73Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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11.59Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.26Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.6Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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8.89Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.04University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
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12.31Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 27.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 23.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.