← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.23+5.37vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+5.22vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.18+7.46vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.53+4.83vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95+6.09vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.90+5.45vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.27+6.70vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-0.17vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami2.66-0.73vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.90+1.67vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.54-5.81vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.30-1.81vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.50-4.13vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University2.99-7.22vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University3.22-8.84vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin1.25-2.12vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.12-6.35vs Predicted
-
18Jacksonville University1.61-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.37University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.22U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
10.46Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
8.83Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
-
11.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
-
11.45George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
13.7University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.27University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
-
11.67Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
-
5.19Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
-
10.19Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
-
8.87Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.78Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.16Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
-
13.88University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
-
10.65Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
12.4Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 23.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 26.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.