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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+5.47vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+4.92vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+9.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.68vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.45+3.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.96vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.64-2.50vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.07+1.95vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.53-4.31vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.17-0.04vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.10-4.69vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.24+1.48vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.11+0.37vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.27-4.94vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.32-2.07vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.78-4.69vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-4.83vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.92Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.51Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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4.5Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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4.69Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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9.96Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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13.48Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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11.31Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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12.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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12.57Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Enzo Menditto | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.0% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 20.4% |
| Abe Weston | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 21.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 14.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Lars Osell | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.