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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.68vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.53+2.89vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+3.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.68vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+1.24vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.78+5.23vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.45+1.57vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.17+1.67vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.27+0.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-0.77vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.10-5.55vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.11+0.46vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.46vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.24-1.78vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-3.87vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-4.07vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.32-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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4.89Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.86Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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6.24Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.23Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.57Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.67Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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13.46University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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11.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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13.22Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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12.93Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 14.9% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Enzo Menditto | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Miles Williams | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Abe Weston | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 21.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 17.4% |
| Lars Osell | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 15.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.