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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.56vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.41+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.36+7.85vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.43+2.22vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.40-3.61vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-0.94vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.82-2.92vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.54-3.10vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-4.81vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University0.53-4.26vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.58-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Stanford University2.8925.9%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Berkeley0.984.9%1st Place
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4.24University of Hawaii2.4116.6%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Santa Barbara1.788.2%1st Place
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6.03University of Washington1.837.7%1st Place
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13.85University of California at Irvine-0.360.5%1st Place
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5.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.9210.2%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Los Angeles0.432.1%1st Place
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11.14Arizona State University0.741.8%1st Place
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6.39University of Southern California1.407.4%1st Place
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10.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.8%1st Place
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9.08California State University Channel Islands0.823.3%1st Place
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9.9Western Washington University0.542.5%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.763.3%1st Place
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10.74San Diego State University0.531.4%1st Place
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12.59University of California at San Diego-0.581.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 25.9% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 16.6% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 44.6% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% |
| Luke Harris | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Ring | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 21.4% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.