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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.07+4.67vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.84+0.50vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.72+1.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.67-1.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+0.34vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.06-3.23vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.67-1.86vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.97-1.57vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.97-2.39vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-0.61-1.55vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-2.69-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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2.5Salve Regina University3.840.3%1st Place
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4.48Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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2.85Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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5.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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3.77Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.14Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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9.45Amherst College-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.78Wesleyan University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Weeks | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 32.5% | 24.9% | 19.7% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hughes | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 24.6% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Simon | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 13.8% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cason | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jordan | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 21.7% | 26.0% | 11.8% | 0.4% |
| Douglas Young | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 21.5% | 29.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% |
| Jesse Lang | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 13.5% | 61.0% | 10.5% |
| Noah Langholz | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 9.2% | 87.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.