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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emmett Weeks 4.1% 5.2% 7.8% 10.7% 15.3% 18.4% 17.9% 12.8% 6.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Patrick Clancy 32.5% 24.9% 19.7% 11.3% 7.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hughes 9.3% 11.9% 12.3% 16.1% 17.6% 14.7% 10.1% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 24.6% 24.4% 19.4% 14.7% 10.1% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William Simon 6.5% 7.1% 9.0% 13.0% 14.8% 14.8% 15.6% 11.5% 6.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Eric Decesar 13.8% 16.5% 19.5% 17.0% 12.1% 10.5% 6.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Cason 4.6% 4.7% 5.5% 9.1% 11.0% 14.9% 17.9% 16.6% 12.6% 3.1% 0.0%
Richard Jordan 2.3% 1.6% 3.1% 3.5% 6.8% 9.5% 13.3% 21.7% 26.0% 11.8% 0.4%
Douglas Young 1.6% 3.2% 3.0% 3.9% 3.9% 6.9% 12.4% 21.5% 29.3% 12.3% 2.0%
Jesse Lang 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 2.2% 3.9% 5.9% 13.5% 61.0% 10.5%
Noah Langholz 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 2.0% 9.2% 87.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.