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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+3.95vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.78+9.48vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+3.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.67vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.45+3.47vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10+0.24vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.94-0.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-0.19vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+3.75vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.24+3.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+1.12vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.27-2.36vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.17-3.47vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.64-9.61vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.11-1.39vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.32-3.02vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-5.07vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.07-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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11.48Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.46Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.47Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.7Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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13.43Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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9.53Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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4.39Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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13.61University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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11.93St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.0% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Enzo Menditto | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.9% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 18.4% |
| Lars Osell | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.5% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abe Weston | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 21.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 16.2% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% |
| Miles Williams | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.