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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+5.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+6.13vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+3.92vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.53+0.79vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+6.79vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10+0.25vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.17+2.78vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.64-3.53vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.45-0.41vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.93+0.94vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.78+0.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.87vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.37-0.37vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.27-4.86vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-4.94vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-2.11vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.32-3.90vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.11-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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6.92Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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4.79Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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11.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.78Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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4.47Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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10.94Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.39Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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12.63Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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13.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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13.51University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.7% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.0% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Miles Williams | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 23.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.3% |
| Abe Weston | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.