← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.64+3.69vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.53+2.93vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.07+7.39vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.10+2.16vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.75vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.27+3.38vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University2.94-0.24vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-0.14vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin1.11+4.65vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.45-1.12vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.78+0.39vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University2.17-1.87vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-1.31vs Predicted
-
14Boston College3.07-7.86vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.93-4.39vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.32-2.99vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.37-4.03vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.69Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
4.93Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
-
10.39University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
-
6.16Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
8.75U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
-
9.38University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
-
6.76Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
-
13.65University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
-
8.88Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
-
11.39Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
-
10.13Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
-
11.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
-
6.14Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
10.61Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
-
13.01University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
12.97Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Abe Weston | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 20.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 16.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.