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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+8.01vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+4.37vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.37+10.05vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.94+2.77vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+6.74vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.32+6.93vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.78+4.30vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.93+2.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.09vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.17+0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.27-1.53vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.45-2.98vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.53-8.23vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.64-9.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-1.29vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.07-5.82vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.18-3.40vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.07-11.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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13.05Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.77Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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11.3Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.6Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.07Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.34Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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13.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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13.6University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
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6.17Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 14.4% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.7% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.4% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 22.2% |
| Miles Williams | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 21.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.