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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.55+7.55vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.70vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.53+2.08vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79+3.45vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.93+5.70vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07+4.35vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.17+2.91vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.37+4.80vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-2.69vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.78+1.63vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.27-2.22vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-6.21vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.07-7.75vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-3.06vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.18-2.37vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-3.00vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.32-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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4.7Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.08Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.7Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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9.91Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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12.8Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.63Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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6.79Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
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14.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Welburn | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 12.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 21.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 24.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.