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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+9.45vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.37+11.21vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+1.74vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.10+2.25vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.53-0.07vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.27+2.53vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-0.05vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+2.96vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.93+1.08vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32+2.09vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.17-1.74vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-6.21vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.79-6.77vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.55-6.66vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-2.11vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.18-3.36vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.78-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.45University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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13.21Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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4.93Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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6.47Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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11.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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11.08Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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10.26Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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6.79Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.23Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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13.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
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11.2Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.8% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.5% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 14.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 23.7% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 20.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.