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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+3.77vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.42vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+3.24vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27+4.12vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.79+1.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.55+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.11+5.00vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.17+0.80vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.93+0.44vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.78+0.24vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.07-1.99vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32-0.27vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.94-7.14vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-7.09vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-3.40vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.42Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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13.0University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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9.8Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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10.44Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.24Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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6.86Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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12.6Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.1% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 25.3% |
| Owen Bannasch | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 19.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 17.7% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.