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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+5.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+4.13vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.43+6.22vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.70vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.89-2.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.58vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+3.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+0.19vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+0.17vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.82-1.98vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.41-7.84vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University0.53-2.44vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.54-4.06vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.08vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27University of Southern California1.407.5%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.787.2%1st Place
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5.92University of Washington1.838.7%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Los Angeles0.431.6%1st Place
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5.7California Poly Maritime Academy1.929.6%1st Place
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3.24Stanford University2.8925.4%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Berkeley0.985.1%1st Place
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11.26Arizona State University0.741.5%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.763.2%1st Place
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10.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.7%1st Place
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9.02California State University Channel Islands0.823.5%1st Place
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4.16University of Hawaii2.4117.6%1st Place
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10.56San Diego State University0.531.9%1st Place
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9.94Western Washington University0.542.8%1st Place
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12.92University of California at San Diego-0.580.9%1st Place
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13.72University of California at Irvine-0.360.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reade Decker | 25.4% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 9.6% |
| Andrew Ring | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Max Case | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 17.6% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 24.5% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.