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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University0.98+2.11vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+0.49vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-0.51vs Predicted
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4American University0.36-0.05vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.26-0.87vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.70-2.42vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.55-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Monmouth University0.980.2%1st Place
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2.49Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.3%1st Place
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2.49Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.3%1st Place
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3.95American University0.360.1%1st Place
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4.13Ocean County College0.260.1%1st Place
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3.58Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.73Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Luisi | 19.9% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 33.5% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 33.5% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 21.8% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Johnson | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 13.6% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 13.2% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.