← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.53+3.80vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.07+4.24vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+4.97vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.64+0.65vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.10+1.16vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.79+1.49vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.35+1.98vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin1.11+4.93vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.93+1.67vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.94-3.23vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.37+1.48vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.07-2.06vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami2.27-3.61vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University0.89-0.06vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.55-6.76vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.32-3.36vs Predicted
-
17Jacksonville University2.17-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.8Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
-
6.24Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
-
4.65Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
6.16Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
7.49Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
8.98Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
-
12.93University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
-
10.67Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
-
6.77Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
12.48Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
9.94University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
-
9.39University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
-
13.94George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
-
8.24U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
-
12.64University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
9.71Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.8% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.6% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Abe Weston | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 21.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 16.3% |
| Miles Williams | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 31.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 15.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.