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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+3.81vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.48vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+3.27vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.93+6.51vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.17+4.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+2.10vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.94-0.15vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-1.75vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+3.58vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.27-0.84vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.35-1.89vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.79-4.72vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.55-4.68vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.32-1.31vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-5.04vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.11-2.72vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.89-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.48Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.51Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.5Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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6.85Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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9.11Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.28Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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12.69University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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13.87George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.2% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.7% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 14.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 16.6% |
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Abe Weston | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 22.1% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.