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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.37+1.55vs Predicted
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2American University0.36+1.94vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.70+0.48vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University0.98-0.94vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology1.37-2.45vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.55-2.18vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.26-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.3%1st Place
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3.94American University0.360.1%1st Place
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3.48Drexel University0.700.2%1st Place
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3.06Monmouth University0.980.2%1st Place
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2.55Rochester Institute of Technology1.370.3%1st Place
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3.82Drexel University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.15Ocean County College0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Ingham | 31.3% | 25.1% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 10.7% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 23.8% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 15.5% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 20.7% | 19.3% | 21.0% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Roy Ingham | 31.3% | 25.1% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Johnson | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 29.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.