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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+7.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+2.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.77+3.63vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.49+3.47vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+1.31vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.69+4.76vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.43+0.81vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-0.12vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-0.87vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.05-1.62vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.37+0.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-0.54vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-5.42vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.60-3.90vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.09-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.10-1.19vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.31-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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4.59Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.63Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.76Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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8.13Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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12.25University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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12.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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8.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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11.1Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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13.03SUNY Maritime College1.090.0%1st Place
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15.81University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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12.02North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.9% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Honig | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 7.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| John Vail | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 12.4% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 52.3% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.