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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+7.02vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+4.60vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.49+4.69vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.82+2.23vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.86vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40-1.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.05+1.19vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.35-1.02vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.69+0.98vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.01vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.32-3.48vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-2.05vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.10+1.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-2.37vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.09-2.95vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.37-4.87vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.31-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.46Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
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7.98College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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10.98Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.52Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.95Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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15.55University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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12.63University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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13.05SUNY Maritime College1.090.0%1st Place
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12.13University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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12.0North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 17.1% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Honig | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Porter Bell | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 48.6% |
| Jasper Reid | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 10.3% |
| John Vail | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 12.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.