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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+7.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+4.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+1.56vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.32+4.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+7.44vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.05+3.30vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.69+3.78vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.49-0.56vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82-2.81vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.37+2.19vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.35-2.74vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.41vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-5.21vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.09-1.36vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-6.11vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.10-0.23vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.31-4.62vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.60-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.67Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.56Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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8.15Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
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10.78Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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7.44Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.19University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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8.26College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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12.64SUNY Maritime College1.090.0%1st Place
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8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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15.77University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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12.38North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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10.92Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 16.1% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 9.3% |
| Benjamin Honig | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Maks Groom | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Vail | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 9.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 15.1% | 50.8% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% |
| Porter Bell | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.