← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.43+6.98vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.49+5.78vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+5.37vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.77+2.42vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.82+1.27vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.35+2.06vs Predicted
-
7Webb Institute1.69+3.77vs Predicted
-
8Boston University1.60+2.98vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.32-0.86vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.81vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.05vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College1.09+1.23vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.37-1.25vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.40-9.69vs Predicted
-
15North Carolina State University1.31-2.87vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-3.33vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.05-7.59vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan0.10-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.98Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.78Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
-
8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
6.42Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.27Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.06College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
-
10.77Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
10.98Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
8.14Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
13.23SUNY Maritime College1.090.0%1st Place
-
11.75University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
-
4.31Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
-
12.13North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
-
12.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
-
9.41University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
-
15.59University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 9.3% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Porter Bell | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| John Vail | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 15.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 5.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 19.9% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% |
| Jasper Reid | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 10.8% |
| Benjamin Honig | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.