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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.49+6.97vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+2.61vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.77+3.74vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.09+8.88vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+2.88vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.37vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+2.04vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-1.68vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.31vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.69+1.19vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-2.52vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.59vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-1.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-1.52vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.53-0.14vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.31-3.52vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.35-8.55vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.37-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.61Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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6.74Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.88SUNY Maritime College1.090.0%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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11.19Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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8.48Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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11.15Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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12.48North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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11.99University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 15.2% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Vail | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Maks Groom | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| William Michels | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.3% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 36.2% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.