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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+2.32vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.51+2.31vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.74+2.74vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.44+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.13-0.25vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.53vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-1.68vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.22-3.32vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.12-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32College of Charleston2.930.2%1st Place
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4.31Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.74Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.12Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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4.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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5.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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4.68U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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8.3George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Gonzalez | 23.4% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 23.7% | 7.1% |
| Peter Barnard | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Cole Woodworth | 10.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 4.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 4.7% |
| Tanner Kelly | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 2.8% |
| Eva Wieting | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.