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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+4.27vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.09vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.57vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.74+1.55vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.51-0.97vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.93-2.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.22-2.28vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.44-3.78vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.12-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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4.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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5.55Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.03Fordham University2.510.2%1st Place
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3.24College of Charleston2.930.2%1st Place
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4.72U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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4.22Georgetown University2.440.2%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Weed | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 4.9% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Brown | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 21.9% | 5.6% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 16.4% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 23.2% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 2.2% |
| Peter Barnard | 15.1% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 1.8% |
| Eva Wieting | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 76.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.