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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.22+2.94vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+2.30vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.44+0.13vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.74+0.52vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.55vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.93-3.68vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.51-3.87vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.12-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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4.94U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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5.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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4.13Georgetown University2.440.1%1st Place
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5.52Old Dominion University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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3.32College of Charleston2.930.2%1st Place
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4.13Fordham University2.510.2%1st Place
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8.3George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 2.3% |
| Tanner Kelly | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 4.2% |
| Peter Barnard | 14.0% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 21.3% | 8.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 22.7% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 15.3% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Eva Wieting | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.