Race 4A

oyster-bowl-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter Lobaugh 16.2% 13.3% 14.3% 12.8% 13.6% 11.3% 10.5% 7.4% 0.6%
Alexander Gonzalez 19.1% 19.9% 16.0% 15.5% 11.5% 7.8% 5.6% 4.1% 0.5%
Tyler Brown 6.1% 7.2% 7.3% 10.8% 9.8% 11.8% 16.3% 22.9% 7.8%
Peter Barnard 14.8% 13.7% 14.3% 14.1% 10.9% 13.6% 10.1% 7.4% 1.1%
Jonathan Weed 8.1% 11.6% 11.6% 9.1% 12.6% 12.0% 12.6% 17.3% 5.1%
Tanner Kelly 11.4% 11.1% 12.1% 12.2% 12.7% 13.9% 15.4% 9.2% 2.0%
Landon Cormie 12.0% 11.5% 13.4% 11.7% 14.5% 14.2% 10.3% 10.4% 2.0%
Cole Woodworth 11.3% 10.5% 9.3% 12.2% 11.6% 12.9% 14.8% 13.7% 3.7%
Eva Wieting 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 2.8% 2.5% 4.4% 7.6% 77.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.